Automatic Forecasting Systems
Autobox is the flagship product of Automatic Forecasting Systems Inc. (AFS), offering advanced forecasting solutions for PC desktops since 1976. Designed to cater to both novice and expert forecasters, Autobox provides a comprehensive environment that simplifies the forecasting process, whether managing a single time series or thousands.
Key Features and Functionality:
- Automatic Modeling: Autobox automates the Box-Jenkins model-building process, allowing users to generate accurate forecasts without manual intervention.
- Data Cleansing: The software identifies and adjusts for outliers, ensuring the integrity of the dataset and enhancing forecast accuracy.
- Causal Analysis: Autobox incorporates causal factors into forecasts, such as sales of related products, cannibalization effects, and competitor pricing, providing a more comprehensive analysis.
- Scenario Planning: Users can create "what-if" scenarios to assess potential outcomes and make informed decisions based on various assumptions.
- Probability Assessments: The software determines the likelihood of achieving specific targets, aiding in risk assessment and strategic planning.
Primary Value and User Solutions:
Autobox addresses the complexities of time-series forecasting by automating model selection and parameter estimation, reducing the need for extensive statistical expertise. By integrating causal factors and providing tools for scenario analysis, it enables businesses to make data-driven decisions, optimize inventory levels, and improve financial planning. The software's ability to cleanse data and assess probabilities further enhances the reliability of forecasts, ultimately leading to cost savings and increased operational efficiency.